Roki Sasaki is a Los Angeles Dodgers SP projected for 216 fantasy points on 127.3 IP, 129 K, 4.5 ERA, 1.321 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 10%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Roki Sasaki's 2026 projection is built on 127 innings as a starter.
Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, Sasaki's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 24: 123 strikeouts over 122 innings, with 5 wins. Innings across 2025 and 2026 ran 36 and 122, a rising workload.
In 2026, Sasaki's 4.49 ERA sat close to a 4.30 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.
Tracking data from 2026: Sasaki struck out 23.6% of batters and walked 9.2%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 14.4 points, and hitters missed on 29.7% of their swings. Contact against Sasaki averaged 89.6 mph off the bat, with a 9.8% barrel rate.
Sasaki's projected range runs from a 207-point floor to a 428-point upside, around a 216-point median: a spread of 221 points, or 102% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Sasaki on the board are Matthew Liberatore, Michael Soroka and Sean Manaea.
At 24, Sasaki is early in the typical pitcher development arc, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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