AJ Blubaugh is a Houston Astros RP projected for 151 fantasy points on 74 IP, 73 K, 3.7 ERA, 1.240 WHIP, 1 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 8%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
AJ Blubaugh's 2026 projection is built on 74 innings out of the bullpen.
Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, Blubaugh's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 25: 94 strikeouts over 96 innings, with 5 wins. Innings across 2025 and 2026 ran 32 and 96, a rising workload.
In 2026, Blubaugh's 3.66 ERA came in below a 4.27 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Blubaugh struck out 23.4% of batters and walked 10.5%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 12.9 points, and hitters missed on 28.1% of their swings. Contact against Blubaugh averaged 89.3 mph off the bat, with a 10.3% barrel rate.
Blubaugh's projected range runs from a 195-point floor to a 406-point upside, around a 205-point median: a spread of 211 points, or 103% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Blubaugh on the board are Tejay Antone, Ryan Johnson and Robert Gasser.
At 25, Blubaugh is early in the typical pitcher development arc, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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