Luis Gastelum

Luis Gastelum is a St. Louis Cardinals RP projected for 80 fantasy points on 39.2 IP, 47 K, 4.4 ERA, 1.246 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 16%.

Team
St. Louis Cardinals
Position
RP
Projected fantasy points
80
Projected innings
39.2
Projected strikeouts
47
Projected ERA
4.4
Projected WHIP
1.246
Projected wins
5
Projected hits allowed
36
Projected earned runs
19
Projected walks allowed
13
Floor (10th percentile)
75
Median outcome
80
Upside (90th percentile)
127
Elite-season odds
0%
Bust odds
16%

Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.

Player report

Luis Gastelum's 2026 projection is built on 39 innings out of the bullpen.

Gastelum's one season with meaningful innings came in 2026 at age 24: 37 innings with 44 strikeouts. A single season is a thin base for a projection.

Tracking data from 2026: Gastelum struck out 28.9% of batters and walked 7.9%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 21.0 points, and hitters missed on 34.7% of their swings. Contact against Gastelum averaged 86.8 mph off the bat, with a 9.6% barrel rate.

Gastelum's projected range runs from a 75-point floor to a 127-point upside, around an 80-point median: a spread of 52 points, or 65% of the median.

By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Gastelum on the board are Robby Ahlstrom, Hagen Smith and David Sandlin.

At 24, Gastelum is early in the typical pitcher development arc, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.

This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.

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