Will Dion is a Washington Nationals RP projected for 119 fantasy points on 53.1 IP, 58 K, 3.6 ERA, 1.202 WHIP, 1 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 13%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Will Dion's 2026 projection is built on 53 innings out of the bullpen.
Dion's one season with meaningful innings came in 2026 at age 26: 50 innings with 55 strikeouts. A single season is a thin base for a projection.
In 2026, Dion's 3.62 ERA sat close to a 3.35 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.
Tracking data from 2026: Dion struck out 27.4% of batters and walked 8.5%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 18.9 points, and hitters missed on 26.6% of their swings. Contact against Dion averaged 87.4 mph off the bat, with a 7.0% barrel rate.
Recent pitch tracking flags Dion's arsenal as trending down. Over the last 152 pitches, the whiff rate sits 10 points below and the called-strike-plus-whiff rate sits 7 points below Dion's own baseline. The engine applies a -6% adjustment to the rest-of-season projection for a move this size; the full-season projection is untouched.
Dion's projected range runs from a 112-point floor to a 176-point upside, around a 119-point median: a spread of 64 points, or 54% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Dion on the board are Will Klein, Julian Garcia and Peyton Gray.
At 26, Dion is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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