Logan Henderson is a Milwaukee Brewers SP projected for 297 fantasy points on 104.9 IP, 117 K, 2.5 ERA, 0.878 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 13%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Logan Henderson's 2026 projection is built on 105 innings as a starter.
Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, Henderson's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 24: 110 strikeouts over 98 innings, with 11 wins. Innings across 2025 and 2026 ran 25 and 98, a rising workload.
In 2026, Henderson's 2.47 ERA sat close to a 2.74 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.
Tracking data from 2026: Henderson struck out 29.6% of batters and walked 5.1%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 24.5 points, and hitters missed on 26.5% of their swings. Contact against Henderson averaged 88.3 mph off the bat, with an 8.3% barrel rate.
Recent pitch tracking flags Henderson's arsenal as trending down. Over the last 371 pitches, the whiff rate sits 2 points below and the called-strike-plus-whiff rate sits 5 points below Henderson's own baseline. The engine applies a -4% adjustment to the rest-of-season projection for a move this size; the full-season projection is untouched.
Henderson's projected range runs from a 284-point floor to a 475-point upside, around a 297-point median: a spread of 191 points, or 64% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Henderson on the board are Grant Taylor, Walbert Ureña and Max Fried.
At 24, Henderson is early in the typical pitcher development arc, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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