Will Warren is a New York Yankees SP projected for 302 fantasy points on 164.5 IP, 166 K, 3.9 ERA, 1.362 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 1% and a bust at 12%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Will Warren's 2026 projection is built on 165 innings as a full-time starter.
Across 3 seasons with meaningful innings, Warren's biggest strikeout year came in 2025 at age 26: 171 strikeouts over 162 innings, with 9 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 23, 162 and 156, a rising workload.
In 2026, Warren's 3.92 ERA came in below a 4.35 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Warren struck out 23.3% of batters and walked 8.0%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 15.3 points, and hitters missed on 22.7% of their swings. Contact against Warren averaged 90.9 mph off the bat, with a 7.2% barrel rate.
Recent pitch tracking flags Warren's arsenal as trending up. Over the last 324 pitches, the whiff rate sits 7 points above and the called-strike-plus-whiff rate sits 6 points above Warren's own baseline. The engine applies a +6% adjustment to the rest-of-season projection for a move this size; the full-season projection is untouched.
Warren's projected range runs from a 287-point floor to a 482-point upside, around a 302-point median: a spread of 195 points, or 65% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Warren on the board are Brandon Young, Sean Burke and Keider Montero.
At 27, Warren is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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