Cade Povich is a Baltimore Orioles SP projected for 53 fantasy points on 39 IP, 30 K, 4.4 ERA, 1.491 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 11%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Cade Povich's 2026 projection is built on 39 innings as a starter.
Across 3 seasons with meaningful innings, Povich's biggest strikeout year came in 2025 at age 25: 118 strikeouts over 112 innings, with 3 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 80, 112 and 37, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.
Tracking data from 2026: Povich struck out 17.5% of batters and walked 9.4%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 8.1 points, and hitters missed on 22.6% of their swings. Contact against Povich averaged 90.0 mph off the bat, with a 6.9% barrel rate.
Recent pitch tracking flags Povich's arsenal as trending down. Over the last 307 pitches, the whiff rate sits 7 points below and the called-strike-plus-whiff rate sits 4 points below Povich's own baseline. The engine applies a -6% adjustment to the rest-of-season projection for a move this size; the full-season projection is untouched.
Povich's projected range runs from a 50-point floor to an 84-point upside, around a 53-point median: a spread of 34 points, or 64% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Povich on the board are Jack Kochanowicz, Stephen Kolek and Jonathan Hernández.
At 26, Povich is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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