Bubba Chandler is a Pittsburgh Pirates SP projected for 236 fantasy points on 161.7 IP, 148 K, 4.6 ERA, 1.406 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 13%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Bubba Chandler's 2026 projection is built on 162 innings as a full-time starter.
Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, Chandler's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 23: 140 strikeouts over 154 innings, with 8 wins. Innings across 2025 and 2026 ran 31 and 154, a rising workload.
In 2026, Chandler's 4.62 ERA sat close to a 4.30 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.
Tracking data from 2026: Chandler struck out 20.8% of batters and walked 11.9%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 8.9 points, and hitters missed on 22.2% of their swings. Contact against Chandler averaged 89.1 mph off the bat, with a 6.1% barrel rate.
Recent pitch tracking flags Chandler's arsenal as trending up. Over the last 352 pitches, the whiff rate sits 5 points above and the called-strike-plus-whiff rate sits 3 points above Chandler's own baseline. The engine applies a +6% adjustment to the rest-of-season projection for a move this size; the full-season projection is untouched.
Chandler's projected range runs from a 224-point floor to a 468-point upside, around a 236-point median: a spread of 244 points, or 103% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Chandler on the board are Justin Wrobleski, Brady Singer and Brandon Young.
At 23, Chandler is early in the typical pitcher development arc, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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