Brad Lord is a Washington Nationals SP+RP projected for 173 fantasy points on 87.5 IP, 81 K, 3.8 ERA, 1.234 WHIP, 1 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 11%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Brad Lord's 2026 projection is built on 88 innings out of the bullpen.
Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, Lord's biggest strikeout year came in 2025 at age 25: 108 strikeouts over 131 innings, with 5 wins. Innings across 2025 and 2026 ran 131 and 83, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.
In 2026, Lord's 3.78 ERA sat close to a 3.92 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.
Tracking data from 2026: Lord struck out 21.6% of batters and walked 9.2%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 12.4 points, and hitters missed on 19.7% of their swings. Contact against Lord averaged 87.6 mph off the bat, with a 6.4% barrel rate.
Lord's projected range runs from a 166-point floor to a 343-point upside, around a 173-point median: a spread of 177 points, or 102% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Lord on the board are Yusei Kikuchi, Luis Castillo and Eric Lauer.
At 26, Lord is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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