Blade Tidwell

Blade Tidwell is a San Francisco Giants SP projected for 96 fantasy points on 56.7 IP, 46 K, 4.4 ERA, 1.182 WHIP, 1 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 19%.

Team
San Francisco Giants
Position
SP
Projected fantasy points
96
Projected innings
56.7
Projected strikeouts
46
Projected ERA
4.4
Projected WHIP
1.182
Projected wins
1
Projected saves
1
Projected hits allowed
46
Projected earned runs
28
Projected walks allowed
21
Floor (10th percentile)
96
Median outcome
96
Upside (90th percentile)
154
Elite-season odds
0%
Bust odds
19%

Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.

Player report

Blade Tidwell's 2026 projection is built on 57 innings as a starter.

Tidwell's one season with meaningful innings came in 2026 at age 25: 57 innings with 46 strikeouts. A single season is a thin base for a projection.

In 2026, Tidwell's 4.45 ERA sat close to a 4.27 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.

Tracking data from 2026: Tidwell struck out 19.6% of batters and walked 8.9%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 10.7 points, and hitters missed on 23.1% of their swings. Contact against Tidwell averaged 88.4 mph off the bat, with a 10.5% barrel rate.

Recent pitch tracking flags Tidwell's arsenal as trending down. Over the last 325 pitches, the whiff rate sits 2 points below and the called-strike-plus-whiff rate sits 2 points below Tidwell's own baseline. The engine applies a -4% adjustment to the rest-of-season projection for a move this size; the full-season projection is untouched.

Tidwell's projected range runs from a 96-point floor to a 154-point upside, around a 96-point median: a spread of 58 points, or 60% of the median.

By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Tidwell on the board are Danny Young, Mick Abel and Luinder Avila.

At 25, Tidwell is early in the typical pitcher development arc, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.

This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.

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