Chad Patrick is a Milwaukee Brewers SP+RP projected for 176 fantasy points on 78 IP, 69 K, 3.4 ERA, 1.239 WHIP, 4 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 3% and a bust at 14%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Chad Patrick's 2026 projection is built on 78 innings out of the bullpen.
Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, Patrick's biggest strikeout year came in 2025 at age 26: 127 strikeouts over 120 innings, with 3 wins. Innings across 2025 and 2026 ran 120 and 106.
In 2026, Patrick's 3.40 ERA came in below a 4.30 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Patrick struck out 21.0% of batters and walked 10.9%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 10.1 points, and hitters missed on 26.1% of their swings. Contact against Patrick averaged 88.8 mph off the bat, with a 6.4% barrel rate.
Patrick's projected range runs from a 240-point floor to a 404-point upside, around a 253-point median: a spread of 164 points, or 65% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Patrick on the board are Max Scherzer, Tyler Holton and Brock Burke.
At 27, Patrick is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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