Blake Dunn

Blake Dunn is a Cincinnati Reds OF projected for 65 fantasy points on 4 HR, .244 AVG, 20 R, 7 RBI, 6 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 14%.

Team
Cincinnati Reds
Position
OF
Projected fantasy points
65
Projected plate appearances
155
Projected home runs
4
Projected batting average
.244
Projected runs
20
Projected RBI
7
Projected stolen bases
6
Projected total bases
55
Projected walks
10
Floor (10th percentile)
65
Median outcome
65
Upside (90th percentile)
230
Elite-season odds
0%
Bust odds
14%

Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.

Player report

Blake Dunn's 2026 projection is built on 155 plate appearances in a limited role. Dunn bats right-handed.

Across 2 seasons of regular playing time, Dunn's most productive came in 2026 at age 27: 55 total bases, 7 RBI and 20 runs over 155 plate appearances. Plate appearances across 2025 and 2026 ran 75 and 155, a rising workload.

In 2026, Dunn's results ran ahead of the quality of contact: a .320 wOBA against a .280 expected wOBA. Expected stats grade each batted ball by exit velocity and launch angle rather than by where it landed, so part of that output came on contact that does not usually produce it.

Dunn's 2026 batted-ball profile: an 89.2 mph average exit velocity, a 2.9% barrel rate and 30.3% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Dunn struck out in 21.3% of plate appearances and walked in 6.5%, chasing 28.7% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 71.8 mph.

Dunn's projected range runs from a 65-point floor to a 230-point upside, around a 65-point median: a spread of 165 points, or 254% of the median.

By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Dunn on the board are Pedro Ramírez, Jose Fernandez and Nate Eaton.

At 27, Dunn is in the age range where hitters typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.

This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.

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