Nolan McLean is a New York Mets SP projected for 421 fantasy points on 191.1 IP, 205 K, 3.2 ERA, 1.179 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 7% and a bust at 11%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Nolan McLean's 2026 projection is built on 191 innings as a full-time starter.
Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, McLean's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 24: 194 strikeouts over 180 innings, with 12 wins. Innings across 2025 and 2026 ran 48 and 180, a rising workload.
In 2026, McLean's 3.16 ERA came in below a 3.63 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: McLean struck out 26.0% of batters and walked 9.4%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 16.6 points, and hitters missed on 23.6% of their swings. Contact against McLean averaged 87.9 mph off the bat, with a 6.5% barrel rate.
McLean's projected range runs from a 401-point floor to a 673-point upside, around a 421-point median: a spread of 272 points, or 65% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to McLean on the board are George Kirby, Foster Griffin and Shota Imanaga.
At 24, McLean is early in the typical pitcher development arc, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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