Dax Fulton is a Miami Marlins RP projected for 61 fantasy points on 30.9 IP, 31 K, 3.8 ERA, 1.337 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 19%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Dax Fulton's 2026 projection is built on 31 innings out of the bullpen.
Fulton's one season with meaningful innings came in 2026 at age 24: 29 innings with 29 strikeouts. A single season is a thin base for a projection.
Tracking data from 2026: Fulton struck out 23.8% of batters and walked 12.3%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 11.5 points, and hitters missed on 26.8% of their swings. Contact against Fulton averaged 89.4 mph off the bat, with a 5.3% barrel rate.
Fulton's projected range runs from a 57-point floor to a 98-point upside, around a 61-point median: a spread of 41 points, or 67% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Fulton on the board are Gavin Collyer, Connor Thomas and Alex McFarlane.
At 24, Fulton is early in the typical pitcher development arc, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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Shrinkage: observed rates regress toward position-specific population means by an amount inversely proportional to sample size. Catches small-sample outliers.
Quality-of-contact adjustments: xwOBA, barrel rate, and bat-tracking metrics replace luck-driven outcome stats with skill-driven ones.
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