Hunter Dobbins is a St. Louis Cardinals SP projected for 102 fantasy points on 54.1 IP, 52 K, 3.7 ERA, 1.352 WHIP, 1 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 21%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Hunter Dobbins's 2026 projection is built on 54 innings as a starter.
Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, Dobbins's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 26: 52 strikeouts over 54 innings, with 3 wins. Innings across 2025 and 2026 ran 61 and 54.
In 2026, Dobbins's 3.67 ERA sat close to a 3.95 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.
Tracking data from 2026: Dobbins struck out 22.5% of batters and walked 10.4%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 12.1 points, and hitters missed on 23.1% of their swings. Contact against Dobbins averaged 88.4 mph off the bat, with a 7.2% barrel rate.
Dobbins's projected range runs from a 102-point floor to a 163-point upside, around a 102-point median: a spread of 61 points, or 60% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Dobbins on the board are Robert Stock, Jordan Leasure and Tejay Antone.
At 26, Dobbins is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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