Orion Kerkering is a Philadelphia Phillies RP projected for 117 fantasy points on 60.5 IP, 66 K, 4.9 ERA, 1.453 WHIP, 2 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 15%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Orion Kerkering's 2026 projection is built on 60 innings out of the bullpen.
Across 3 seasons with meaningful innings, Kerkering's biggest strikeout year came in 2024 at age 23: 74 strikeouts over 63 innings, with 5 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 63, 60 and 58.
In 2026, Kerkering's 4.97 ERA ran above a 3.87 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so the gap points to run prevention that was better than the ERA shows.
Tracking data from 2026: Kerkering struck out 23.5% of batters and walked 12.7%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 10.8 points, and hitters missed on 26.1% of their swings. Contact against Kerkering averaged 85.7 mph off the bat, with a 6.1% barrel rate.
Kerkering's projected range runs from a 111-point floor to a 166-point upside, around a 117-point median: a spread of 55 points, or 47% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Kerkering on the board are Tommy Nance, Greg Weissert and Sam Moll.
At 25, Kerkering is early in the typical pitcher development arc, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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