Graham Pauley is a Miami Marlins 3B/1B projected for 69 fantasy points on 4 HR, .227 AVG, 16 R, 27 RBI, 1 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 27%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Graham Pauley's 2026 projection is built on 156 plate appearances in a limited role. Pauley bats left-handed.
Across 2 seasons of regular playing time, Pauley's most productive came in 2025 at age 24: 59 total bases, 11 RBI and 18 runs over 184 plate appearances. Plate appearances across 2025 and 2026 ran 184 and 154.
In 2026, Pauley's results ran ahead of the quality of contact: a .274 wOBA against a .243 expected wOBA. Expected stats grade each batted ball by exit velocity and launch angle rather than by where it landed, so part of that output came on contact that does not usually produce it.
Pauley's 2026 batted-ball profile: an 84.4 mph average exit velocity, a 6.5% barrel rate and 25.9% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Pauley struck out in 24.0% of plate appearances and walked in 5.2%, chasing 30.8% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 71.9 mph.
From 2025 to 2026, Pauley's walk rate fell from 11.4% to 5.2% and average exit velocity fell from 86.6 mph to 84.4 mph.
Pauley's projected range runs from a 65-point floor to a 234-point upside, around a 69-point median: a spread of 169 points, or 245% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Pauley on the board are Denzer Guzman, Joe Mack and Alika Williams.
At 25, Pauley is in the age range where hitters typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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