Quinn Mathews is a St. Louis Cardinals SP projected for 84 fantasy points on 51.7 IP, 49 K, 3.8 ERA, 1.381 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 1% and a bust at 20%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Quinn Mathews's 2026 projection is built on 52 innings as a starter.
Mathews's one season with meaningful innings came in 2026 at age 25: 49 innings with 46 strikeouts. A single season is a thin base for a projection.
In 2026, Mathews's 3.83 ERA sat close to a 3.84 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.
Tracking data from 2026: Mathews struck out 21.8% of batters and walked 9.5%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 12.3 points, and hitters missed on 26.8% of their swings. Contact against Mathews averaged 89.1 mph off the bat, with a 4.9% barrel rate.
Mathews's projected range runs from an 80-point floor to a 134-point upside, around an 84-point median: a spread of 54 points, or 64% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Mathews on the board are Wilber Dotel, Peyton Gray and Riley Cornelio.
At 25, Mathews is early in the typical pitcher development arc, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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