Brandon Young is a Baltimore Orioles SP projected for 287 fantasy points on 164.9 IP, 141 K, 3.6 ERA, 1.352 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 11%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Brandon Young's 2026 projection is built on 165 innings as a full-time starter.
Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, Young's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 27: 133 strikeouts over 157 innings, with 9 wins. Innings across 2025 and 2026 ran 58 and 157, a rising workload.
In 2026, Young's 3.56 ERA came in below a 4.32 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Young struck out 19.9% of batters and walked 9.1%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 10.8 points, and hitters missed on 24.3% of their swings. Contact against Young averaged 89.2 mph off the bat, with a 6.9% barrel rate.
Recent pitch tracking flags Young's arsenal as trending up. Over the last 358 pitches, the whiff rate sits 8 points above and the called-strike-plus-whiff rate sits 4 points above Young's own baseline. The engine applies a +6% adjustment to the rest-of-season projection for a move this size; the full-season projection is untouched.
Young's projected range runs from a 274-point floor to a 459-point upside, around a 287-point median: a spread of 185 points, or 64% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Young on the board are Will Warren, Sean Burke and Keider Montero.
At 27, Young is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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