Trevor McDonald is a San Francisco Giants SP projected for 75 fantasy points on 60 IP, 49 K, 5.1 ERA, 1.309 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 14%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Trevor McDonald's 2026 projection is built on 60 innings as a starter.
McDonald's one season with meaningful innings came in 2026 at age 25: 70 innings with 57 strikeouts. A single season is a thin base for a projection.
In 2026, McDonald's 5.12 ERA ran above a 4.09 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so the gap points to run prevention that was better than the ERA shows.
Tracking data from 2026: McDonald struck out 18.4% of batters and walked 7.4%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 11.0 points, and hitters missed on 21.3% of their swings. Contact against McDonald averaged 89.0 mph off the bat, with a 4.2% barrel rate.
McDonald's projected range runs from an 88-point floor to a 141-point upside, around an 88-point median: a spread of 53 points, or 60% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to McDonald on the board are Elvis Alvarado, Travis Adams and Tatsuya Imai.
At 25, McDonald is early in the typical pitcher development arc, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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