Hunter Brown is a Houston Astros SP projected for 251 fantasy points on 113.2 IP, 130 K, 3.2 ERA, 1.259 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 58% and a bust at 16%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Hunter Brown's 2026 projection is built on 113 innings as a starter.
Across 5 seasons with meaningful innings, Brown's biggest strikeout year came in 2025 at age 26: 206 strikeouts over 185 innings, with 12 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 170, 185 and 107, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.
In 2026, Brown's 3.19 ERA sat close to a 3.32 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.
Tracking data from 2026: Brown struck out 27.5% of batters and walked 12.2%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 15.3 points, and hitters missed on 26.7% of their swings. Contact against Brown averaged 86.2 mph off the bat, with a 6.0% barrel rate.
Brown's projected range runs from a 238-point floor to a 402-point upside, around a 251-point median: a spread of 164 points, or 65% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Brown on the board are Payton Tolle, Cade Cavalli and Jack Flaherty.
At 27, Brown is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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