Kohl Drake is a Arizona Diamondbacks SP projected for 18 fantasy points on 21.7 IP, 18 K, 6.4 ERA, 1.494 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 18%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Kohl Drake's 2026 projection is built on 22 innings as a starter.
Drake's one season with meaningful innings came in 2026 at age 25: 21 innings with 17 strikeouts. A single season is a thin base for a projection.
The 2026 projection for Drake is minimal, around an 18-point median, so this season carries little fantasy value to weigh.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Drake on the board are Mike Paredes, Jack Sinclair and Alimber Santa.
At 25, Drake is early in the typical pitcher development arc.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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Run rankings first.
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Recency weighting: prior seasons contribute by recency (more recent = more weight) and sample size (more PA = more weight).
Shrinkage: observed rates regress toward position-specific population means by an amount inversely proportional to sample size. Catches small-sample outliers.
Quality-of-contact adjustments: xwOBA, barrel rate, and bat-tracking metrics replace luck-driven outcome stats with skill-driven ones.
PT modeling: projected PA is anchored to workload tier (full-time, regular, platoon, backup catcher) using historical role distributions.
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