Angel Chivilli is a New York Yankees RP projected for 33 fantasy points on 17.8 IP, 17 K, 3.8 ERA, 1.276 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 16%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Angel Chivilli's 2026 projection is built on 18 innings out of the bullpen.
Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, Chivilli's biggest strikeout year came in 2025 at age 22: 43 strikeouts over 59 innings, with 1 win. Innings across 2024 and 2025 ran 32 and 59, a rising workload.
Chivilli's projected range runs from a 31-point floor to a 53-point upside, around a 33-point median: a spread of 22 points, or 67% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Chivilli on the board are Reiver Sanmartin, Max Kranick and Thomas Hatch.
At 23, Chivilli is early in the typical pitcher development arc.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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Studies and awards - the research-side surfaces of the managr platform.
Live snapshot of the projection system.
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Recency weighting: prior seasons contribute by recency (more recent = more weight) and sample size (more PA = more weight).
Shrinkage: observed rates regress toward position-specific population means by an amount inversely proportional to sample size. Catches small-sample outliers.
Quality-of-contact adjustments: xwOBA, barrel rate, and bat-tracking metrics replace luck-driven outcome stats with skill-driven ones.
PT modeling: projected PA is anchored to workload tier (full-time, regular, platoon, backup catcher) using historical role distributions.
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