Matt Wilkinson

Matt Wilkinson is a San Francisco Giants SP projected for 53 fantasy points on 29.4 IP, 21 K, 3.6 ERA, 1.000 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 21%.

Team
San Francisco Giants
Position
SP
Projected fantasy points
53
Projected innings
29.4
Projected strikeouts
21
Projected ERA
3.6
Projected WHIP
1.000
Projected wins
1.1
Floor (10th percentile)
50
Median outcome
53
Upside (90th percentile)
84
Elite-season odds
0%
Bust odds
21%

Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.

Player report

Matt Wilkinson's 2026 projection is built on 29 innings as a starter.

Wilkinson's one season with meaningful innings came in 2026 at age 23: 28 innings with 20 strikeouts. A single season is a thin base for a projection.

Tracking data from 2026: Wilkinson struck out 18.2% of batters and walked 4.5%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 13.7 points, and hitters missed on 18.5% of their swings. Contact against Wilkinson averaged 89.4 mph off the bat, with a 7.1% barrel rate.

Wilkinson's projected range runs from a 50-point floor to an 84-point upside, around a 53-point median: a spread of 34 points, or 64% of the median.

By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Wilkinson on the board are Elmer Rodríguez, Beck Way and Tyler Davis.

At 23, Wilkinson is early in the typical pitcher development arc.

This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.

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