Jared Jones is a Pittsburgh Pirates SP projected for 252 fantasy points on 112.3 IP, 134 K, 3.7 ERA, 1.109 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 10%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Jared Jones's 2026 projection is built on 112 innings as a starter.
Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, Jones's biggest strikeout year came in 2024 at age 22: 132 strikeouts over 122 innings, with 6 wins. Innings across 2024 and 2026 ran 122 and 102.
In 2026, Jones's 3.72 ERA ran above a 3.18 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so the gap points to run prevention that was better than the ERA shows.
Tracking data from 2026: Jones struck out 29.6% of batters and walked 7.5%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 22.1 points, and hitters missed on 32.6% of their swings. Contact against Jones averaged 89.1 mph off the bat, with a 7.4% barrel rate.
Jones's projected range runs from a 232-point floor to a 403-point upside, around a 252-point median: a spread of 171 points, or 68% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Jones on the board are Jacob Lopez, Emmet Sheehan and Nathan Eovaldi.
At 24, Jones is early in the typical pitcher development arc, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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