Gunnar Henderson

Gunnar Henderson is a Baltimore Orioles SS projected for 338 fantasy points on 26 HR, .254 AVG, 92 R, 63 RBI, 11 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 55% and a bust at 17%.

Team
Baltimore Orioles
Position
SS
Projected fantasy points
338
Projected plate appearances
728
Projected home runs
26
Projected batting average
.254
Projected runs
92
Projected RBI
63
Projected stolen bases
11
Projected total bases
264
Projected walks
70
Floor (10th percentile)
321
Median outcome
338
Upside (90th percentile)
457
Elite-season odds
55%
Bust odds
17%

Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.

Player report

Gunnar Henderson's 2026 projection is built on 728 plate appearances as an everyday regular. Henderson bats left-handed.

Across 5 seasons of regular playing time, Henderson's most productive came in 2024 at age 23: 333 total bases, 92 RBI and 118 runs over 719 plate appearances, with 21 stolen bases. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 719, 651 and 702.

In 2026, Henderson's results tracked the quality of contact closely: a .314 wOBA against a .322 expected wOBA.

Henderson's 2026 batted-ball profile: an 89.2 mph average exit velocity, a 7.7% barrel rate and 43.3% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Henderson struck out in 22.2% of plate appearances and walked in 9.5%, chasing 30.4% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 74.1 mph.

From 2025 to 2026, Henderson's average exit velocity fell from 92.1 mph to 89.2 mph.

Henderson's projected range runs from a 321-point floor to a 457-point upside, around a 338-point median: a spread of 136 points, or 40% of the median.

By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Henderson on the board are Bryson Stott, Travis Bazzana and Fernando Tatis Jr..

At 25, Henderson is in the age range where hitters typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.

This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.

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2026 FYPD Class

Players entering the MiLB system for the first time: the 2026 MLB Draft class and first-time international signees. Ranked by dynasty value: a measured expectation from draft slot or debut production, adjusted by the age curve. For established prospects, see the Prospect board.

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