Brandon Williamson is a Cincinnati Reds SP projected for 60 fantasy points on 56.1 IP, 39 K, 5.2 ERA, 1.456 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 9%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Brandon Williamson's 2026 projection is built on 56 innings as a starter.
Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, Williamson's biggest strikeout year came in 2023 at age 25: 98 strikeouts over 117 innings, with 5 wins. Innings across 2023 and 2026 ran 117 and 53, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.
In 2026, Williamson's 5.30 ERA came in below a 6.03 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Williamson struck out 15.6% of batters and walked 13.0%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 2.6 points, and hitters missed on 23.5% of their swings. Contact against Williamson averaged 88.7 mph off the bat, with a 9.3% barrel rate.
Williamson's projected range runs from a 55-point floor to a 96-point upside, around a 60-point median: a spread of 41 points, or 68% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Williamson on the board are Cionel Pérez, John King and Taylor Clarke.
At 28, Williamson is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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