Austin Warren is a New York Mets RP projected for 94 fantasy points on 53.3 IP, 58 K, 4.1 ERA, 1.373 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 19%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Austin Warren's 2026 projection is built on 53 innings out of the bullpen.
Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, Warren's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 30: 55 strikeouts over 50 innings, with 2 wins. Innings across 2021 and 2026 ran 20 and 50, a rising workload.
In 2026, Warren's 4.11 ERA came in below a 4.66 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Warren struck out 25.5% of batters and walked 11.1%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 14.4 points, and hitters missed on 27.3% of their swings. Contact against Warren averaged 89.0 mph off the bat, with an 11.4% barrel rate.
Warren's projected range runs from an 89-point floor to a 150-point upside, around a 94-point median: a spread of 61 points, or 65% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Warren on the board are Steven Cruz, Kai-Wei Teng and Chase Shugart.
At 30, Warren is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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