Gus Varland

Gus Varland is a Washington Nationals RP projected for 59 fantasy points on 34.3 IP, 33 K, 6.5 ERA, 1.748 WHIP, 6 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 12% and a bust at 20%.

Team
Washington Nationals
Position
RP
Projected fantasy points
59
Projected innings
34.3
Projected strikeouts
33
Projected ERA
6.5
Projected WHIP
1.748
Projected wins
2
Projected saves
6
Projected hits allowed
44
Projected earned runs
25
Projected walks allowed
16
Floor (10th percentile)
55
Median outcome
59
Upside (90th percentile)
95
Elite-season odds
12%
Bust odds
20%

Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.

Player report

Gus Varland's 2026 projection is built on 34 innings as a closer. That role carries 6 projected saves.

Across 3 seasons with meaningful innings, Varland's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 29: 32 strikeouts over 33 innings, with 6 saves. Innings across 2023, 2024 and 2026 ran 20, 26 and 33, a rising workload.

Tracking data from 2026: Varland struck out 20.6% of batters and walked 9.7%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 10.9 points, and hitters missed on 21.8% of their swings. Contact against Varland averaged 93.7 mph off the bat, with a 15.9% barrel rate.

Varland's projected range runs from a 55-point floor to a 95-point upside, around a 59-point median: a spread of 40 points, or 68% of the median.

By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Varland on the board are Mitch Farris, Drey Jameson and Clayton Beeter.

At 29, Varland is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.

This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.

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