Mike Burrows is a Houston Astros SP projected for 76 fantasy points on 94.7 IP, 75 K, 6 ERA, 1.552 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 13%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Mike Burrows's 2026 projection is built on 95 innings as a starter.
Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, Burrows's biggest strikeout year came in 2025 at age 25: 97 strikeouts over 96 innings, with 2 wins. Innings across 2025 and 2026 ran 96 and 95.
In 2026, Burrows's 5.99 ERA ran above a 4.82 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so the gap points to run prevention that was better than the ERA shows.
Tracking data from 2026: Burrows struck out 17.7% of batters and walked 8.3%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 9.4 points, and hitters missed on 21.6% of their swings. Contact against Burrows averaged 88.3 mph off the bat, with an 8.4% barrel rate.
Burrows's projected range runs from a 76-point floor to a 122-point upside, around a 76-point median: a spread of 46 points, or 61% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Burrows on the board are J.T. Ginn, Alex Lange and Kyle Bradish.
At 26, Burrows is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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