Henry Davis is a Pittsburgh Pirates C projected for 125 fantasy points on 9 HR, .192 AVG, 36 R, 41 RBI, 3 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 27%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Henry Davis's 2026 projection is built on 313 plate appearances in a part-time role. Davis bats right-handed.
Across 4 seasons of regular playing time, Davis's most productive came in 2026 at age 26: 80 total bases, 38 RBI and 33 runs over 298 plate appearances. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 122, 283 and 298, a rising workload.
In 2026, Davis's results lagged the quality of contact: a .267 wOBA against a .290 expected wOBA. Expected stats grade each batted ball by exit velocity and launch angle rather than by where it landed, so the gap describes output that ran below what the contact earned.
Davis's 2026 batted-ball profile: a 90.3 mph average exit velocity, an 8.6% barrel rate and 40.9% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Davis struck out in 21.1% of plate appearances and walked in 9.4%, chasing 32.3% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 74.2 mph.
From 2025 to 2026, Davis's strikeout rate fell from 26.9% to 21.1% and average exit velocity rose from 88.6 mph to 90.3 mph.
Davis's projected range runs from a 119-point floor to a 209-point upside, around a 125-point median: a spread of 90 points, or 72% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Davis on the board are Paul Goldschmidt, Pablo Reyes and Garrett Hampson.
At 26, Davis is in the age range where hitters typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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