Justin Wrobleski is a Los Angeles Dodgers SP+RP projected for 289 fantasy points on 147.4 IP, 125 K, 3.7 ERA, 1.159 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 14%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Justin Wrobleski's 2026 projection is built on 147 innings as a full-time starter.
Across 3 seasons with meaningful innings, Wrobleski's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 25: 118 strikeouts over 140 innings, with 12 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 36, 67 and 140, a rising workload.
In 2026, Wrobleski's 3.66 ERA came in below a 4.54 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Wrobleski struck out 20.4% of batters and walked 5.4%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 15.0 points, and hitters missed on 20.7% of their swings. Contact against Wrobleski averaged 90.1 mph off the bat, with a 9.4% barrel rate.
Wrobleski's projected range runs from a 278-point floor to a 463-point upside, around a 289-point median: a spread of 185 points, or 64% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Wrobleski on the board are Bubba Chandler, Zebby Matthews and Brandon Young.
At 25, Wrobleski is early in the typical pitcher development arc, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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