Kyle Bradish is a Baltimore Orioles SP projected for 225 fantasy points on 155.1 IP, 142 K, 4.1 ERA, 1.458 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 16%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Kyle Bradish's 2026 projection is built on 155 innings as a full-time starter.
Across 5 seasons with meaningful innings, Bradish's biggest strikeout year came in 2023 at age 26: 168 strikeouts over 169 innings, with 12 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 39, 32 and 155, a rising workload.
In 2026, Bradish's 4.12 ERA came in below a 4.48 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Bradish struck out 21.2% of batters and walked 10.5%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 10.7 points, and hitters missed on 23.6% of their swings. Contact against Bradish averaged 88.4 mph off the bat, with an 8.5% barrel rate.
Bradish's projected range runs from a 225-point floor to a 446-point upside, around a 225-point median: a spread of 221 points, or 98% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Bradish on the board are José Alvarado, J.T. Ginn and Dennis Santana.
At 29, Bradish is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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