Luinder Avila is a Kansas City Royals SP projected for 63 fantasy points on 60 IP, 52 K, 5.5 ERA, 1.614 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 20%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Luinder Avila's 2026 projection is built on 60 innings as a starter.
Avila's one season with meaningful innings came in 2026 at age 24: 70 innings with 61 strikeouts. A single season is a thin base for a projection.
In 2026, Avila's 5.53 ERA ran above a 4.95 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so the gap points to run prevention that was better than the ERA shows.
Tracking data from 2026: Avila struck out 19.7% of batters and walked 13.6%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 6.1 points, and hitters missed on 23.9% of their swings. Contact against Avila averaged 88.0 mph off the bat, with a 5.9% barrel rate.
Avila's projected range runs from a 74-point floor to a 119-point upside, around a 74-point median: a spread of 45 points, or 61% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Avila on the board are Danny Young, Blade Tidwell and Konnor Pilkington.
At 24, Avila is early in the typical pitcher development arc, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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