Liover Peguero is a SS projected for 0 fantasy points on 0 R, 0 RBI, 0 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 16%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Across 2 seasons of regular playing time, Peguero's most productive came in 2023 at age 22: 74 total bases, 26 RBI and 21 runs over 213 plate appearances. Plate appearances across 2023 and 2025 ran 213 and 88, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.
In 2023, Peguero's results ran ahead of the quality of contact: a .284 wOBA against a .267 expected wOBA. Expected stats grade each batted ball by exit velocity and launch angle rather than by where it landed, so part of that output came on contact that does not usually produce it.
Peguero's projected range runs from a 0-point floor to a 7-point upside, around a 56-point median: a spread of 7 points, or 13% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Peguero on the board are Bryce Johnson, Kameron Misner and Ryan Waldschmidt.
At 25, Peguero is in the age range where hitters typically hold their skills.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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Run rankings to populate Market Edge.
Run rankings first.
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Studies and awards - the research-side surfaces of the managr platform.
Live snapshot of the projection system.
Backtest, parsimony, ablation, and benchmark - one synthesized report. Output renders in Validation.
Final Value = Raw Projection × MasterConfidence × TeamContext. Each layer answers one question - no overlap.
Recency weighting: prior seasons contribute by recency (more recent = more weight) and sample size (more PA = more weight).
Shrinkage: observed rates regress toward position-specific population means by an amount inversely proportional to sample size. Catches small-sample outliers.
Quality-of-contact adjustments: xwOBA, barrel rate, and bat-tracking metrics replace luck-driven outcome stats with skill-driven ones.
PT modeling: projected PA is anchored to workload tier (full-time, regular, platoon, backup catcher) using historical role distributions.
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VAR: Value Above Replacement at the player's primary position. Replacement levels are floored per position so SS scarcity doesn't artificially inflate stable middle infielders.
Tune component weights against historical seasons. Stored in session.
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Walk-forward backtests, calibration quality, and benchmark comparisons. Run walk-forward first - most tools depend on its pair pool.
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Last known status of each underlying data source.
Source status will appear once data has been refreshed.
Issues from the most recent data refresh, if any.
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Active player injuries, refreshed from upstream sources.
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