Ryan Weathers is a New York Yankees SP projected for 271 fantasy points on 137.5 IP, 143 K, 3.6 ERA, 1.224 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 13%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Ryan Weathers's 2026 projection is built on 137 innings as a starter.
Across 5 seasons with meaningful innings, Weathers's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 26: 143 strikeouts over 137 innings, with 5 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 87, 38 and 137, a rising workload.
In 2026, Weathers's 3.60 ERA came in below a 4.32 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Weathers struck out 25.2% of batters and walked 6.7%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 18.5 points, and hitters missed on 27.0% of their swings. Contact against Weathers averaged 89.2 mph off the bat, with an 8.6% barrel rate.
Weathers's projected range runs from a 271-point floor to a 434-point upside, around a 271-point median: a spread of 163 points, or 60% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Weathers on the board are Kirby Yates, Caleb Thielbar and Braxton Ashcraft.
At 26, Weathers is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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