Keaton Winn is a San Francisco Giants RP projected for 82 fantasy points on 43 IP, 33 K, 3.3 ERA, 1.186 WHIP, 1 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 14%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Keaton Winn's 2026 projection is built on 43 innings out of the bullpen.
Across 3 seasons with meaningful innings, Winn's biggest strikeout year came in 2024 at age 26: 48 strikeouts over 55 innings, with 3 wins. Innings across 2023, 2024 and 2026 ran 42, 55 and 43.
In 2026, Winn's 3.35 ERA came in below a 4.01 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Winn struck out 18.8% of batters and walked 9.7%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 9.1 points, and hitters missed on 23.0% of their swings. Contact against Winn averaged 86.8 mph off the bat, with a 4.9% barrel rate.
Winn's projected range runs from an 82-point floor to a 131-point upside, around an 82-point median: a spread of 49 points, or 60% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Winn on the board are Jose Cuas, Andrew Nardi and Connor Brogdon.
At 28, Winn is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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