Tanner Bibee is a Cleveland Guardians SP projected for 299 fantasy points on 197.2 IP, 156 K, 4.3 ERA, 1.226 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 9% and a bust at 12%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Tanner Bibee's 2026 projection is built on 197 innings as a full-time starter.
Across 4 seasons with meaningful innings, Bibee's biggest strikeout year came in 2024 at age 25: 187 strikeouts over 174 innings, with 12 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 174, 182 and 188.
In 2026, Bibee's 4.36 ERA sat close to a 4.35 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.
Tracking data from 2026: Bibee struck out 19.0% of batters and walked 7.1%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 11.9 points, and hitters missed on 23.6% of their swings. Contact against Bibee averaged 89.0 mph off the bat, with an 8.5% barrel rate.
Recent pitch tracking flags Bibee's arsenal as trending down. Over the last 347 pitches, the whiff rate sits 2 points below and the called-strike-plus-whiff rate sits 3 points below Bibee's own baseline. The engine applies a -4% adjustment to the rest-of-season projection for a move this size; the full-season projection is untouched.
Bibee's projected range runs from a 284-point floor to a 479-point upside, around a 299-point median: a spread of 195 points, or 65% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Bibee on the board are José Soriano, Robbie Ray and Framber Valdez.
At 27, Bibee is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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