Joey Cantillo is a Cleveland Guardians SP+RP projected for 314 fantasy points on 167.7 IP, 180 K, 3.6 ERA, 1.412 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 1% and a bust at 10%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Joey Cantillo's 2026 projection is built on 168 innings as a full-time starter.
Across 3 seasons with meaningful innings, Cantillo's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 26: 171 strikeouts over 159 innings, with 11 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 39, 95 and 159, a rising workload.
In 2026, Cantillo's 3.62 ERA came in below a 4.01 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Cantillo struck out 24.9% of batters and walked 11.8%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 13.1 points, and hitters missed on 29.1% of their swings. Contact against Cantillo averaged 88.2 mph off the bat, with a 7.5% barrel rate.
Cantillo's projected range runs from a 299-point floor to a 503-point upside, around a 314-point median: a spread of 204 points, or 65% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Cantillo on the board are Ranger Suarez, Shota Imanaga and George Kirby.
At 26, Cantillo is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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