Juan Mejia

Juan Mejia is a Colorado Rockies RP projected for 97 fantasy points on 73.1 IP, 69 K, 5.2 ERA, 1.680 WHIP, 4 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 13%.

Team
Colorado Rockies
Position
RP
Projected fantasy points
97
Projected innings
73.1
Projected strikeouts
69
Projected ERA
5.2
Projected WHIP
1.680
Projected wins
4.1
Projected saves
4
Projected hits allowed
81
Projected earned runs
43
Projected walks allowed
41
Floor (10th percentile)
92
Median outcome
97
Upside (90th percentile)
140
Elite-season odds
0%
Bust odds
13%

Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.

Player report

Juan Mejia's 2026 projection is built on 73 innings out of the bullpen.

Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, Mejia's biggest strikeout year came in 2025 at age 24: 68 strikeouts over 61 innings, with 2 wins. Innings across 2025 and 2026 ran 61 and 70.

In 2026, Mejia's 5.27 ERA ran above a 4.73 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so the gap points to run prevention that was better than the ERA shows.

Tracking data from 2026: Mejia struck out 20.4% of batters and walked 12.4%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 8.0 points, and hitters missed on 23.7% of their swings. Contact against Mejia averaged 88.9 mph off the bat, with a 3.8% barrel rate.

Mejia's projected range runs from a 92-point floor to a 140-point upside, around a 97-point median: a spread of 48 points, or 49% of the median.

By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Mejia on the board are Steven Cruz, Robert Gasser and Anthony Molina.

At 25, Mejia is early in the typical pitcher development arc, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.

This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.

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