Cade Smith is a Cleveland Guardians RP projected for 458 fantasy points on 78 IP, 111 K, 2 ERA, 0.994 WHIP, 43 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 71% and a bust at 14%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Cade Smith's 2026 projection is built on 78 innings as a closer. That role carries 43 projected saves.
Across 3 seasons with meaningful innings, Smith's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 27: 107 strikeouts over 74 innings, with 41 saves. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 75, 74 and 74.
In 2026, Smith's 1.95 ERA came in below a 2.83 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Smith struck out 36.3% of batters and walked 7.8%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 28.5 points, and hitters missed on 34.5% of their swings. Contact against Smith averaged 91.4 mph off the bat, with an 8.7% barrel rate.
Smith's projected range runs from a 441-point floor to a 742-point upside, around a 464-point median: a spread of 301 points, or 65% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Smith on the board are Tanner Scott, Louis Varland and Trevor Megill.
At 27, Smith is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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