Taj Bradley is a Minnesota Twins SP projected for 406 fantasy points on 189.4 IP, 217 K, 3.8 ERA, 1.229 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 7% and a bust at 11%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Taj Bradley's 2026 projection is built on 189 innings as a full-time starter.
Across 4 seasons with meaningful innings, Bradley's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 25: 205 strikeouts over 178 innings, with 12 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 138, 143 and 178.
In 2026, Bradley's 3.73 ERA sat close to a 3.98 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.
Tracking data from 2026: Bradley struck out 27.4% of batters and walked 10.2%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 17.2 points, and hitters missed on 27.4% of their swings. Contact against Bradley averaged 90.9 mph off the bat, with a 9.1% barrel rate.
Recent pitch tracking flags Bradley's arsenal as trending up. Over the last 376 pitches, the whiff rate sits 5 points above and the called-strike-plus-whiff rate sits 3 points above Bradley's own baseline. The engine applies a +6% adjustment to the rest-of-season projection for a move this size; the full-season projection is untouched.
Bradley's projected range runs from a 386-point floor to a 649-point upside, around a 406-point median: a spread of 263 points, or 65% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Bradley on the board are Eury Pérez, Kevin Gausman and Aaron Nola.
At 25, Bradley is early in the typical pitcher development arc, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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