Rico Garcia

Rico Garcia is a Baltimore Orioles RP projected for 228 fantasy points on 70.1 IP, 71 K, 3.1 ERA, 0.995 WHIP, 11 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 7% and a bust at 17%.

Team
Baltimore Orioles
Position
RP
Projected fantasy points
228
Projected innings
70.1
Projected strikeouts
71
Projected ERA
3.1
Projected WHIP
0.995
Projected wins
5.1
Projected saves
11
Projected hits allowed
46
Projected earned runs
24
Projected walks allowed
23
Floor (10th percentile)
216
Median outcome
228
Upside (90th percentile)
451
Elite-season odds
7%
Bust odds
17%

Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.

Player report

Rico Garcia's 2026 projection is built on 70 innings as a closer. That role carries 11 projected saves.

Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, Garcia's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 32: 68 strikeouts over 67 innings, with 10 saves. Innings across 2025 and 2026 ran 34 and 67, a rising workload.

In 2026, Garcia's 3.09 ERA sat close to a 2.92 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.

Tracking data from 2026: Garcia struck out 25.7% of batters and walked 8.3%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 17.4 points, and hitters missed on 31.9% of their swings. Contact against Garcia averaged 86.9 mph off the bat, with a 5.2% barrel rate.

Garcia's projected range runs from a 216-point floor to a 451-point upside, around a 228-point median: a spread of 235 points, or 103% of the median.

By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Garcia on the board are Ryan Zeferjahn, Brent Headrick and Brandon Eisert.

At 32, Garcia is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.

This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.

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