Jesse Scholtens is a Tampa Bay Rays RP projected for 79 fantasy points on 51 IP, 40 K, 4.3 ERA, 1.343 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 13%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Jesse Scholtens's 2026 projection is built on 51 innings out of the bullpen.
Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, Scholtens's biggest strikeout year came in 2023 at age 29: 58 strikeouts over 85 innings, with 1 win. Innings across 2023 and 2026 ran 85 and 48, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.
In 2026, Scholtens's 4.34 ERA came in below a 5.19 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Scholtens struck out 17.7% of batters and walked 7.2%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 10.5 points, and hitters missed on 20.1% of their swings. Contact against Scholtens averaged 87.8 mph off the bat, with a 10.4% barrel rate.
Recent pitch tracking flags Scholtens's arsenal as trending down. Over the last 202 pitches, the whiff rate sits 2 points below and the called-strike-plus-whiff rate sits 6 points below Scholtens's own baseline. The engine applies a -4% adjustment to the rest-of-season projection for a move this size; the full-season projection is untouched.
Scholtens's projected range runs from a 74-point floor to a 126-point upside, around a 79-point median: a spread of 52 points, or 66% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Scholtens on the board are Kody Funderburk, Bryan King and Troy Melton.
At 32, Scholtens is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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