Hayden Wesneski is a Houston Astros SP projected for 133 fantasy points on 66.6 IP, 51 K, 3.3 ERA, 1.152 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 17%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Hayden Wesneski's 2026 projection is built on 67 innings as a starter.
Across 5 seasons with meaningful innings, Wesneski's biggest strikeout year came in 2023 at age 25: 83 strikeouts over 89 innings, with 3 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 68, 32 and 61.
In 2026, Wesneski's 3.25 ERA came in below a 3.81 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Wesneski struck out 18.7% of batters and walked 8.1%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 10.6 points, and hitters missed on 23.6% of their swings. Contact against Wesneski averaged 88.0 mph off the bat, with a 5.1% barrel rate.
Wesneski's projected range runs from a 124-point floor to a 264-point upside, around a 133-point median: a spread of 140 points, or 105% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Wesneski on the board are Tim Mayza, Brad Lord and Patrick Corbin.
At 28, Wesneski is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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