Sam Long is a RP projected for 0 fantasy points on 0 IP, 0 K, 4.6 ERA, 1.493 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 13%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Across 5 seasons with meaningful innings, Long's biggest strikeout year came in 2024 at age 28: 44 strikeouts over 43 innings, with 3 wins. Innings across 2023, 2024 and 2025 ran 45, 43 and 40.
In 2025, Long's 5.36 ERA ran above a 4.96 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so the gap points to run prevention that was better than the ERA shows.
Tracking data from 2025: Long struck out 17.5% of batters and walked 11.6%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 5.9 points, and hitters missed on 19.1% of their swings. Contact against Long averaged 88.1 mph off the bat, with an 8.3% barrel rate.
Long's projected range runs from a 73-point floor to a 104-point upside, around an 81-point median: a spread of 31 points, or 38% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Long on the board are Kyle Gibson, Kendall Graveman and Jorge López.
At 30, Long is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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