Nolan Gorman is a St. Louis Cardinals 3B projected for 85 fantasy points on 11 HR, .209 AVG, 28 R, 35 RBI, 0 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 20%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Nolan Gorman's 2026 projection is built on 315 plate appearances, down from 402 in 2025. Gorman bats left-handed.
Across 5 seasons of regular playing time, Gorman's most productive came in 2023 at age 23: 194 total bases, 76 RBI and 59 runs over 464 plate appearances. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 402, 402 and 302.
In 2026, Gorman's results lagged the quality of contact: a .260 wOBA against a .278 expected wOBA. Expected stats grade each batted ball by exit velocity and launch angle rather than by where it landed, so the gap describes output that ran below what the contact earned.
Gorman's 2026 batted-ball profile: an 89.3 mph average exit velocity, a 9.9% barrel rate and 42.1% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Gorman struck out in 32.5% of plate appearances and walked in 10.9%, chasing 31.4% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 73.4 mph.
Gorman's strikeout, walk and contact rates held within normal year-to-year noise from 2025 to 2026, so the forecast is not reacting to a skill change.
Gorman's projected range runs from an 80-point floor to a 249-point upside, around an 84-point median: a spread of 169 points, or 201% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Gorman on the board are Ryan McMahon, Sean Murphy and Kyle Manzardo.
At 26, Gorman is in the age range where hitters typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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