Dylan Lee is a Atlanta Braves RP projected for 186 fantasy points on 70.6 IP, 81 K, 3.1 ERA, 0.984 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 1% and a bust at 17%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Dylan Lee's 2026 projection is built on 71 innings out of the bullpen.
Across 5 seasons with meaningful innings, Lee's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 31: 77 strikeouts over 67 innings, with 6 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 60, 68 and 67.
In 2026, Lee's 3.09 ERA ran above a 2.64 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so the gap points to run prevention that was better than the ERA shows.
Tracking data from 2026: Lee struck out 29.4% of batters and walked 6.5%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 22.9 points, and hitters missed on 35.7% of their swings. Contact against Lee averaged 87.6 mph off the bat, with a 5.4% barrel rate.
Lee's projected range runs from a 177-point floor to a 369-point upside, around a 186-point median: a spread of 192 points, or 103% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Lee on the board are Adrian Morejon, Andrés Muñoz and Jhoan Duran.
At 31, Lee is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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