Will Smith is a Los Angeles Dodgers C projected for 172 fantasy points on 11 HR, .263 AVG, 38 R, 37 RBI, 0 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 18% and a bust at 19%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Will Smith's 2026 projection is built on 292 plate appearances, down from 436 in 2025. Smith bats right-handed.
Across 8 seasons of regular playing time, Smith's most productive came in 2022 at age 27: 236 total bases, 87 RBI and 68 runs over 578 plate appearances. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 544, 436 and 276, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.
In 2026, Smith's results lagged the quality of contact: a .345 wOBA against a .389 expected wOBA. Expected stats grade each batted ball by exit velocity and launch angle rather than by where it landed, so the gap describes output that ran below what the contact earned.
Smith's 2026 batted-ball profile: an 89.1 mph average exit velocity, a 12.4% barrel rate and 41.2% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Smith struck out in 16.3% of plate appearances and walked in 12.3%, chasing 20.9% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 69.9 mph.
From 2025 to 2026, Smith's average exit velocity fell from 91.3 mph to 89.1 mph and strikeout rate fell from 20.4% to 16.3%.
Smith's projected range runs from a 158-point floor to a 288-point upside, around a 172-point median: a spread of 130 points, or 76% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Smith on the board are Trent Grisham, Ian Happ and Max Muncy.
At 31, Smith is entering the ages where hitting skills have historically begun to decline, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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