Lake Bachar is a Pittsburgh Pirates SP+RP projected for 206 fantasy points on 91.5 IP, 98 K, 3.5 ERA, 1.133 WHIP, 2 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 17%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Lake Bachar's 2026 projection is built on 91 innings out of the bullpen.
Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, Bachar's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 31: 93 strikeouts over 87 innings, with 2 wins. Innings across 2025 and 2026 ran 71 and 87.
In 2026, Bachar's 3.43 ERA sat close to a 3.39 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.
Tracking data from 2026: Bachar struck out 26.0% of batters and walked 10.1%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 15.9 points, and hitters missed on 30.2% of their swings. Contact against Bachar averaged 88.8 mph off the bat, with a 7.6% barrel rate.
Bachar's projected range runs from a 196-point floor to a 407-point upside, around a 206-point median: a spread of 211 points, or 102% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Bachar on the board are Ryan Yarbrough, Luis Medina and Jovani Morán.
At 31, Bachar is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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